The slight chance of sprinkles and showers mentioned yesterday seems to have evaporated, according to last night's various model forecasts. The GEFS ensembles (above) have flat-lined through the 5th of May and neither the 06 UTC WRF-GFS or WRF-NAM forecast any precipitation in southeast Arizona today. Below is WRF-GFS forecast of precipitation through 5:00 am MST tomorrow morning.
However, winds continue in the forecasts - below shows WRF-GFS forecast of 10-m winds valid at 1:00 pm this afternoon. Current NWS forecast for airport grid continues with a 10% chance for precipitation and thunderstorms, as well as wind gusts as high as 33 mph. The forecast also indicates a Red Flag Warning for the airport, but the warned area is well east of the metro region.
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