Winter at Yosemite NP this morning - above.
The 13 UTC MIMIC PW analysis this morning (below) shows very much diminished values over West Coast and Southwest relative to record highs above one inch the last several days.
The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for PW at TUS (above) indicate both the current very dry situation and increases during stormy periods on Presidents' Day and toward end of the week.
Plumes from same run of P-Type at airport (below) continue to show some ensemble members forecasting bit of snow possibly mixed in with the rains.
The 06 UTC WRF_GFS forecast from ATMO keeps the brunt of the next storm mostly to our north, with spotty precipitation across Pima County.
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