This morning's wind profile for TWC (above, right side) indicates strong winds of 30 to 50 kts from just above surface to above 600 mb. The BL will be well-mixed to around 700 mb by mid-day, bringing another afternoon with gusty winds.
Once again, the NWS webpage shows conflicting graphics (I know I'm mostly wasting my time on this, since it appears that neither Region or Headquarters care about this problem). The two graphics above indicate that the Tucson metro area is under a red flag warning today (this means that conditions are critical should a wildfire develop). But the weather story cartoon below shows the real details, with the red flag area entirely to our east and south.
The rainfall outlook for rest of May remains dismal, as per 00 UTC WRF-GFS forecast for precipitation through 5:00 am MST on June 1st (below, on 5.4 km grid).
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