Light Shower Here This Morning

View to north from campus at about 6:56 am MST this morning.

We had a light shower here this morning a bit before 6:30 am (Trace), and radar from that time (above) shows some showers over parts of the metro area. The morning sounding plot for TWC (below) indicates just a bit of CAPE above 500 mb.

Plot of 12-hours of detected CG flashes (from Atmo and Vaisala above ) ending at midnight last night indicates some thunderstorm activity west of Continental Divide with storms in parts of Cochise County. The MIMIC TPW analysis (below) for 6:00 am this morning continues to show amounts around an inch over southeastern Arizona (some from east and most from GoC). TS Alvin, southwest of Baja was upgraded briefly last evening to a Cat. 1 Hurricane by NHC.

The 06 UTC WRF-GFS forecast from Atmo (below on 1.8 km grid valid at 2:00 pm this afternoon) indicates some thunderstorm activity over Santa Cruz and eastern Pima County this afternoon. Rain at airport - perhaps.