Saturday, May 14, 2016

Quick Look At WRF From 06 UTC

The high cloudiness yesterday afternoon kept the high temperature at TUS at 98 F and warmest day of week turned out to be Thursday at 99 F - so more thermometer watching for the first 100 F day.

The WRF-GFS continues to forecast isolated thunderstorms this afternoon near and east to north of the metro area. Forecast of composite radar echoes above is valid at 2:00 pm this afternoon.

The model also forecasts strong winds for tomorrow afternoon as another 500 mb short wave moves by. The 10-m wind forecast below is valid at 2:00 pm tomorrow afternoon. The very strong winds over in the Big Bend area are being produced by severe thunderstorms in the model forecast. The NAM version of the model forecasts especially strong winds along the flanks of the Huachuca Mountains tomorrow.

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