Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Look To South AM 25 June


First a look north to Jackson Hole golf course, where it will obviously be a busy day.


MIMIC TPW analysis for 8:00 am MST above shows that moist, tropical air remains south of 20 degrees north, with very dry conditions over the Southwest and northern Mexico.

Below (from Atmo and Vaisala) is plot of CG flashes for 12-hours ending at 8:45 am this morning. Thunderstorm activity west of Continental Divide remains far south of Cabo Corrientes.

At bottom is this morning's outlook for the Eastern Pacific from NHC. They are forecasting a high chance of Tropical Storm development during rest of week. A named storm would be Alvin, the first of the season. Last year, by June 27th, there had been 5 named storms, including 2 Cat. 4 hurricanes - so Eastern Pacific much quieter so far this season.



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