Friday, February 14, 2025

Quick Update Valentine's Day


View of the Catalinas at 9:00 am MST this morning.


GFS forecast of 500 mb pattern (above, valid at 06 UTC tonight) shows sharp trough moving across Arizona.


Plumes from the 06 UTC GEFS runs show: all members forecasting measurable, but light, rainfall at the airport late this afternoon (above);  Cool temperatures for tomorrow (below); and windy conditions later today (second below).




The 12 UTC run of the WRF-HRRR at Atmo (above) shows little precipitation over southern Arizona through 06 UTC tomorrow night. The current am forecast from the NWS (below) is more agressive - we'll watch how this plays out.

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