View looking toward the Rincons at 6:30 am MST this morning.
Plumes from the 06 UTC runs of the GEFS indicate that it gets very wet as we head toward the weekend. The POPs from the same runs (below) get very high (up to 80 percent) into early next week.
This morning's NHC outlook for weakening Hurricane Priscilla (above) now keeps the remnant depression west of Baja. TPW map from 14 UTC (below) shows Priscilla near Baja, with remnants of Octave to its southwest. Very high values of TPW extend almost to 30 degrees north.
GFS run from 06 UTC (above) shows total rainfall through 1800 UTC on Monday, with very large amounts extending into southeastern Arizona. Current graphic from the NWS (below) highlights heavy rains over the weekend. Looks like big changes may be coming our way.
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