Clear skies over the Rincons pre-sunrise this morning (note - sunrise was at 5:42 am MST).
The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for temperature (above) indicate a distinct cooling at mid-week, as April draws to a close.
Plumes for QPF at the airport (above) indicate chances for measurable rain on the 30th and 1st of April and May. There's a large range in both the timing and amounts among the various ensemble members.
The GFS forecast from the 06 UTC run (below, for 500 mb) indicates a distinct shortwave from Wyoming south-southwestward across the Four Corners, Tucson, and central Baja at 00 UTC on May 1st.
The GEFS POPs for the airport (bottom) reach above 50 percent on the 30th. So far, April has been rain-free here at the house, so Thursday and Friday will be interesting.
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