Friday, May 25, 2018

Another Look Toward Tropics

First - review of our drought conditions here at house: total rainfall over a bit more than last three months has been only 0.04 inches.

The morning IR satellite image above shows a large area of deep convection southeast of Yucatan this morning. The morning outlook from NHC (below) indicates that this disturbance has a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression or named storm as it moves northward toward the U.S. over the long Memorial Day weekend.

Plot below is of detected CG flashes (from Atmo and Vaisala) for 12-hours ending at midnight last night. The west coast of Mexico remains quiet from Arizona to south of Cabo Corrientes.

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