Monday, May 14, 2018

New Week - Little Change

Little to report as a new week gets underway - breezy/windy periods but with temperatures mostly in 90s, i.e., a bit cooler than last week. Visible satellite image above is from 6:30 am MST showing mostly clear skies across the state. There are some lenticular clouds around as there were yesterday - probably in a moist layer around 600 mb, that has strong inversion just above.

Below is WRF-GFS forecast for total precipitation across the west for the period ending at 5:00 pm on May 21st (from the 00 UTC run at Atmo on the 5.4 km grid). GEFS ensemble plumes for QPF at TUS remain flat-lined. So it goes.

1 comment:

  1. I had quite a scare in Paradise as a fire started over by the National Monument on Saturday. If it had gotten up into the conifers (what is left of them) the fire would of been bad news indeed. However, in spite of high winds, it seems to now be nearly out as I saw no smoke yesterday. I think a combination of fast reaction by fire fighters and the 2011 fire kept it from getting up into the high elevations and becoming a crown fire. Soil and fuel moisture levels are at 2011 (or drier!) values.