Monday, October 16, 2017

Mild Easterly Breezes And Temperatures At Sunrise

Very dry October continues with little hope for precipitation indicated by forecast models.

Was very mild at sunrise today - currently at house it's 70 F vs 50 F yesterday, and looks like airport low will be 71 F. Surface plot above from 7:00 am MST indicates anticyclone center at southeast corner of New Mexico. Winds gusted to 41 mph (below, with gust speeds indicated in far right column) at the Mt. Hopkins RAWS site during the night, illustrating again the usefulness of the WRF forecast sounding at Sonoita.

The GFS forecast has come into sync with the ECMWF, and both models now forecast next short wave at 500 mb to move rapidly across the Southwest, before closing off over Texas.


  1. Hi Bob, this is off-topic but I thought you & your readers might be interested in this week's Hydrology and Atmos. Sciences colloquium at the UA: DOW Discoveries: What we are learning about tornadoes, hurricanes and other high impact mesoscale phenomena, by Dr. Karen Kosiba of the Center for Severe Weather Research.

    Thursday, Oct. 19, 4pm, Harshbarger rm. 206

    Full info at:

    Be well,

  2. Anonymous11:32 AM

    She and a couple of DOWs also participated in SNOWIE last winter in Idaho.