View of the Catalinas about 6:20 am MST this morning. Afternoon high temperatures at the airport yesterday and Saturday reached to record high levels - 111 F yesterday and 108 F on Saturday. The 111 F was the hottest ever day in September since records began in Tucson.
Plot of detected CG flashes for 24-hours ending at 0833 UTC this morning (below) indicates that almost all of Arizona was very suppressed yesterday. There was storm activity in Mexico south of Santa Cruz and Cochise Counties.
The morning sounding (above) from TWC/TUS remains quite dry below 600 mb, with westerly winds aloft. There is virtually no CAPE present, but model forecasts increase lower-level moisture some during the day.
The forecast from the 06 UTC WRF-GFS at Atmo (above) forecasts some precipitation in eastern Pima County through midnight tonight. The morning forecast from the NWS (below) indicates POPs at the airport of 30 to 40 percent through Tuesday night, with slightly cooler temperatures
No comments:
Post a Comment