Sunday, November 26, 2017

Weather Miscellany As We Head Toward End Of November

We've been away a couple of days in northern Arizona, where the main weather story was same as down here - record high temperatures.

The miserable November pattern has continued over much of West - view above is of Jack Hale's snow stake at his Star Valley Ranch in northwestern Wyoming (elevation 6217 ft MSL) yesterday afternoon.

Here in southeastern Arizona not much to report except cool morning lows by by unusually high afternoon temperatures. Low here at house has ranged 39 to 42 F every morning since November
19th. No precipitation of course.  

The GEFS QPF plumes from 06 UTC last night are beginning to indicate some chances for rainfall at the airport during the first week in December.

The short-wave at 500 mb crossing the Great Basin and Arizona tomorrow will bring us west winds - the ECMWF brings strong portion of trof farther south than other models, so winds could be stronger than currently expected - were this to happen. The westerly surface winds tomorrow will be followed by a period of east winds Tuesday night into Wednesday.

After that we'll just have to wait and see how pattern evolves.

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