There were some thunderstorms and light showers over parts of Cochise County yesterday afternoon. The morning run of the Atmo WRF-NAM forecast of radar echoes at 4 pm yesterday is shown above. The light echoes around the Tucson area were mostly dry, but I did notice some virga off toward the Rincons around noon. The ALERT network had no measured rain at any site. The four southeastern-most RAWS stations in Arizona had light rainfall from the storms; all less than 0.10", except for 0.20" at Rucker. Douglas and Ft. Huachuca both reported thunderstorms, but just a trace of rainfall. The cloud-to-ground lightning strikes detected yesterday afternoon are shown below. The early WRF-GFS forecast today keeps showers this afternoon and tomorrow well off to the north and east.
Hurricane Rina is a Cat.2 storm this morning and is located southeast of Yucatan - see 1345 UTC visible image below. The storm is forecast to strengthen to a moderate hurricane as it moves toward the Yucatan Straits. Eventually, NHC predicts an abrupt turn toward the east and western Cuba.
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