Friday, July 13, 2018
Friday The Thirteenth - End Of Second Week In July
The most active part of state yesterday, as per detected CG flashes for 24-hours ending at 1:00 am MST early this morning (above - from Atmo and Vaisala). There were some storm cells in the metro area, although heavier rain amounts were on the Catalinas and from downtown southeastward along I-10 toward Benson. The ALERT reports below are for 24-hours ending at 5:00 am this morning (remember there are both early am showers here plus afternoon thunderstorm amounts). Here at house one small cell dropped an additional 0.05" a bit after 5:00 pm bringing amount for the day to .06". Atmo had 0.32", TUS had 0.01" and DM recorded a Trace.
Morning sounding's skew-T plot is at bottom. The PW is down to around an inch and a half due to some drying in middle levels. There is only a sliver of CAPE today due to some warming at 500 mb and some cooling at low levels. Both variants of the WRF model ran at Atmo last night forecast storms today to stay mostly on higher elevations, and over in Cochise County. But, given the lack of steering winds and patchy cloud cover, today is essentially another crap-shoot.
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