Friday, October 06, 2023

Mixed Messages

Pre-dawn color looking toward Redington Pass this morning about 05:40 am MST.

The 06 UTC GEFS plumes (above) continue to indicate slight chances for light showers this weekend. While the 12 UTC WRF-RR forecast (which is similar to other WRF runs - below) indicates little precipitation across the entire southwest half of Arizona.The 500 mb pattern this morning is very chaotic with only weak features across Arizona and leads me to lean toward the dry forecasts in the WRF runs.

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