Thursday, March 14, 2024

Showers Likely Tomorrow



View of Rincons before sunrise this morning.

Analysis for 500 mb at 12 UTC this morning (from SPC). Note that closed circulation is actually over southwest Utah, rather position indicated on analysis. Forecast from 06 UTC GFS (below) moves the low center to southwest Arizona  by 12 UTC tomorrow morning.

Plumes from the GEFS for the 06 UTC runs - above for QPF at airport and below T at the airport. Most of rain event is forecast during the day tomorrow. Temperatures drop considerably for tomorrow also.

Forecast above is from the 12 UTC WRF-RR run at Atmo - shown is precipitation forecast by the model through noon on Saturday. Current morning forecast from the TUS Forecast Office is shown below.

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