Thursday, December 20, 2012

Tough Night For Low Temperature Forecast (Corrected)

The 12 UTC (20 December 2012) morning run of the WRF-GFS model at Atmo forecasts the current gusty east winds to continue through the night. The downslope winds keep things mixed, and temperatures at 6 am tomorrow morning are forecast to be quite mild - as per the plot above (note - I had inserted a graphic for a different time - the surface forecast above is now the correct WRF forecast for 6 am this morning). Current NWS forecast low temperature for TUS tomorrow morning is 33F - very different than the WRF forecast low for TUS of 47F. Will watch to see how the winds modulate temperatures during the night.

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