Friday, September 28, 2018

Following Rosa


Had internet problems this morning and am only taking a quick look at Rosa.

Category 4 Hurricane Rosa is now turning northward. Image above is IR from 8:00 am MST. Below is current track forecast track from NHC - remnants still forecast to move into southwestern Arizona near Yuma.

The 00 UTC WRF GFS forecast of total precipitation through 5:00 am on October 3rd is shown second below. If this forecast verifies, then very heavy rains impact western Arizona, with amounts decreasing rapidly to east of track of storm remnants. The current GEFS QPF plumes are also indicating the west-to-east decrease in potential rain amounts.


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