Saturday, June 22, 2024

No Rain Here



View of the Catalinas at 6:30 MST this morning showing heavily overcast skies.

Plot of detected CG flashes (above - from Atmo and Vaisala) through 0703 UTC last night shows a donut hole over much of the metro area. There were some strikes near enough that we heard some rumbles of thunder here at the house.

There were a few ALERT sites (above and below) that recorded rainfall through 6:30 am MST this morning. These were mostly over the southeast portion of the network, where a couple of sites had over an inch of rain. Not even a sprinkle occurred here at the house. The airport reported a severe thunderstorm with gusts to 73 mph and 0.35"; DM had gusts to 35 mph and 0.11"; and Atmo had gusts to 46 mph but no rainfall. I did not notice really strong winds here - probably had gusts to around 30 mph.


Plumes from the 06 UTC runs of the GEFS (above for QPF at the airport and below for CAPE) are shown here. Light showers are indicated almost daily for the coming week and CAPE remains quite high.


This morning's forecast from the NWS (above) indicates POPs of 50 to 60 percent for each period through Monday. The long-range GFS forecast through noon next Saturday (below) shows heavy precipitation amounts across the entire state.

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