Thursday, May 28, 2015

TD One-E Forms


Edited to add: In their second advisories issued at 8:00 am MST this morning, the NHC has quickly upgraded the TD to tropical storm status with the name Andres. 

The tropical development that global models have been predicting the past few days has occurred. Early this morning the NHC declared that the disturbance near 110 degrees W had become the first tropical depression of the season in the eastern Pacific. The 1130 UTC IR image above shows a very impressive system and perhaps this system got a bit ahead of NHC. Regardless, the models have gradually shifted their forecast for this system westward and the official NHC forecast (below) keeps the system far southwest of Baja. The system is forecast to reach hurricane strength and when named will be TS/Hurricane Andres.


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