Hurricane Karl intensified to a Cat 3 storm and is apparently going ashore near Vera Cruz, Mexico at this time. Karl seems to have turned toward the southwest and it remains to be seen how and where its remnants will come out into the Pacific. It's not clear whether the remnants will be far enough north to trigger a moisture push up the GoC. We'll just have to watch.---------------------------------------------------------------
Yesterday's WRF early run forecast a bit of an uptick over toward the New Mexico border for this afternoon. However, this morning's runs, with low PW values over almost all of the southeast part of state, aren't forecasting very much today - WRF-NAM forecasts a few weak showers over the White Mountains; the WRF-GFS forecast indicates isolated thundershowers in Cochise County. So the great influx of Iowa Hawkeye fans are not dragging any humidity along with them - they'll find Tucson very desert-like this weekend.
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