Colorful cloud structures over the Catalinas this morning at about 7:00 am MST.
The last three months have been mostly warm and dry here at the house. Total rainfall was 1.53" - but month by month it was: September 1.49"; October Trace; and November 0.04". So we have had two continuous months with virtually no meaningful rainfall.
The GFS forecasts for the next couple of weeks are shown here (above is precipitation through 18 UTC on December 7th and below is precipitation through 06 UTC on December 15th). So that model is indicating some hope for rain here after the first week of Winter.
The seasonal outlooks (from the NWS Climate Prediction Center) for Winter - above and below - indicate that Winter here in the Southwest will continue much as did Fall - dry and warm. So it goes.