Another Donut Hole Day

Heavy clouds overhead yesterday at 5:00 pm MST.

Plot of detected CG flashes (from Atmo - above for 24-hours ending 0903 UTC) shows a small donut hole over metro area.

Rainfall reports from ALERT Network (above and below for 24-hours ending at 8:00 am this morning) indicate that showers mostly avoided the city. Here at the house we had a huge crash of thunder around 2:30 PM but no rain. There were scattered amounts around of more than half an inch.

The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for QPF at airport (above) indicate little activity until next weekend and beyond. The POPs at TUS (below) reach above 50 percent early next week.

Light Showers Yesterday

View of Catalinas at 6:45 am MST this morning.

Plot of detected CG flashes yesterday (below - from Atmo) shows that storms mostly avoided Pima County yesterday.

However, light rains were widespread across the ALERT Network (above and below). Note that a few sites recorded amounts from a half to over an inch. Here at house we had 0.07" in late afternoon; TUS reported 0.14"; DM had 0.15"; and Atmo measured 0.22".

Current NWS morning forecast for the airport is at bottom.

Fausto

Morning color over the Rincons a bit before 6:00 am MST this morning.

Tropical Storm Fausto developed yesterday evening - IR image above is from 1430 UTC this morning. Fausto is expected to become a hurricane this morning, but to move westward far southwest of Baja.

Mostly light rainfall was scattered around the ALERT Network during the 24-hours ending at 7:30 am this morning (above and below). It appears that we had a Trace here before sunrise.

Plumes for QPF at the airport (above from the 06 UTC runs) indicate chance for showers tonight and then a mostly quiet week. Morning POPs for the airport shown below from same runs highlight chance for rain tonight, followed by low POPs rest of week. The current morning forecast from the NWS for the airport is shown at bottom.

Quiet Here

Storm over Catalinas at 1:00 pm MST this early afternoon.

Some reports were scattered around the ALERT network yesterday (above for 24-hours ending at 11:00 am this morning). We had no rain here - DM reported a Trace, and Atmo and airport had 0.08".

Plumes from the 12 UTC GEFS runs - above QPF and below POPs for rain at the airport (note the early morning rain stayed away from the main metro area). Current NWS forecast for the airport is at bottom.

Light Showers

Light showers were continuing at 7:00 am MST this morning.

Shower activity produced considerable coverage across the ALERT Network (above and below) for 24-hours ending at 9:00 am this morning. Here at the house we had 0.14"; TUS reported 0.07"; Atmo had 0.08" and DM had 1.04".

Plumes above (from 06 UTC runs of the GEFS) for TUS indicate renewed activity later part of coming 7 days. POPs for the airport gradually recover to near or above climo for July. The current NWS forecast for the airport is at bottom.

Storms Yesterday Evening

Storms over the Catalinas at 5:40 pm yesterday afternoon.

Plot of detected CG flashes (from Atmo above through 0933 UTC this morning) shows scattered to isolated flashes across southeast Arizona.

ALERT plots (above and below) show fairly widespread activity across the Network, with highest amounts over Catalinas and southwest of metro area. Here at house we had thunder and showers after about 5:30 pm with 0.21" in gauge this morning. Atmo had 0.19"; TUS reported 0.09"; while DM reported only 0.02".

Plumes above from 06 UTC GEFS runs indicate a quiet week, with light rain amounts at the airport. Current morning forecast from the NWS Office for airport shown below.

Flash Flood Watch

Late post today. View of storm over the Catalinas at 2:00 pm MST this afternoon.

Plot of detected CG flashes (above for 24-hours ending at 1413 UTC this afternoon) shows a classic Tucson donut hole.

Rainfall across the ALERT Network yesterday (above and below) affected the northern and southern portions, mostly avoiding the metro area. However, here at the house we had a brief shower a bit after 7:00 pm that left 0.15" in the gauge.

There is a Flash Flood Watch in place for all of southeastern Arizona, as per above graphic from the NWS Forecast Office. Current forecast for the airport is shown below.

T. S. Elida

 

Tropical Storm Elida developed early yesterday far southwest of Baja. Image above is IR from 1620 UTC this morning. Current forecast from NHC (below) keeps the storm/hurricane far offshore during it's entire life.