Thursday, September 17, 2026

Significant Rain Event


Storms along the foothills around 5:40 pm MST yesterday afternoon.


ALERT reports for 24-hours ending at 8:00 am this morning show almost complete coverage, with numerous sites over an inch. Note the report over three inches at northwest corner of the network! Here at house we had thunder with gusty winds of 40 mph or so and 0.64" of rain. The rain fell off and on from before 6:00 pm into the early morning hours of today.

The 12 UTC runs of NBM indicate activity for the coming week staying to our east (below).

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Dreary Morning

View of the Catalinas at 8:45 am MST this morning shows it to be a somewhat dreary morning,


Yesterday was quite suppressed, with only two ALERT sites reporting 0.04" - above. Was a dry day here at the house yesterday.


Hazards map from SPC for today (above) shows very large areas under Flash Flood Watches and also Heat Advisories.



The plumes for TUS QPF (above from SPC at 09 UTC) continue to show activity for the airport, especially today. The current forecast for the airport is shown below.

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Numerous Showers Yesterday

Showers moving into foothills at 6:00 pm MST yesterday afternoon.


Rains were widespread across the ALERT Network (above) with many reports above half an inch. There are also two sites with more than two inches. Here at house we only had 0.10". There were two severe wind reports near the airport, with a gust to 68 mph and a pole down.

Current NWS morning forecast for airport (below) keeps high POPs today and tomorrow (below).

Monday, September 14, 2026

Increasing Chances For Showers

View of Cbs along north slopes of the Catalinas at 3:00 pm MST yesterday afternoon.

Below are the ALERT Network reports for 24-hours ending at 8:00 am this morning, Fourteen sites reported 0.04", while a site near Tubac had 0.12". Again, there was nothing here at the house.



The NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch for today (above). POPs for the airport are high through Wednesday (below).

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Bit Of Rain

Pre-sunrise color looking east toward the Rincons this morning.


Rainfall was scattered across the ALERT Network during the 24-hours ending at 9:00 am MST this morning (above). There were some heavy amounts mixed in, with one site reporting over two inches. Here we had some afternoon sprinkles, with only 0.02" left in the gauge. The NWS forecast for the airport (below) continues to call for increased storm activity during the next few days.

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Mostly Suppressed Again

Bit of color over the Catalinas about 6:00 am MST this morning.


Plot of detected CG flashes (above - from Atmo for 24-hours ending at 0233 am) shows only a few flashes over the Catalinas in eastern Pima County. Only six sites across entire ALERT Network reported rain (below for 24-hours ending at 7:00 am), all far removed from main metro area. Nothing here again.



Graphic from the NWS (above) shows POPs for today. The morning forecast for the airport is shown below through Monday night, with chances for showers picking up as new week begins.

Friday, September 11, 2026

Another Dry Day

Pre-dawn color over Redington Pass at about 5:30 am this morning.


There were very few lightning CG flashes detected over Arizona yesterday - above plot from Atmo is for 24-hours ending at 0903 UTC (2:03 am MST). No ALERT sites recorded rainfall - below for 24-hours ending at 8:00 am this morning.



NBM 12 UTC runs (above) forecast a swath of precipitation from Mexico to the Dakotas through 12 UTC on Monday morning. Current morning forecast from the NWS for the airport through the weekend (below), indicating fairly low POPs.