Chances For Showers By End Of Week

Pink clouds over the Catalinas at about a quarter to 7 am MST this morning.

The 06 GEFS plumes are shown here for the coming week. Plumes for QPF  (above) indicate increasing chances for showers by Sunday, continuing into next week. Last rainfall here at house was only 0.01" back on February 17th, so a fairly long dry spell continues for a few more days.

The POPs (above) peak at around 50 percent on next Monday. Temperatures are forecast to cool considerable after tomorrow (below). Strong and gusty winds are indicated for tomorrow however (second below).

Brief Summaries

 

Perfectly clear skies here in Tucson, a bit before 10:00 am MST on Tuesday, March 2nd.

Summary 2025: Total rainfall here at the house during 2025 was 10.14". This is a tie for the 7th driest year here, since 1999, with 2002. The driest year was 2020, with only 5.48". There was thunder here on at least 18 days - may have missed a few due to my poor hearing.

Summary for winter (December, January, and February) 2025/2026: Total winter rainfall (no snow here) was 1.90". This was the 9th driest winter since 1999. The driest winter here (2005/2006) saw only 0.04" of rain! I did not note any days with thunder during the past winter.

Hot Ending for February

 

Graphic from the NWS today warning of record heat as February draws to a close.

Blizzard In Northeast

View of I-95 in Boston a while ago, versus TUS outlook for the coming week here!

Some Sprinkles Here

 

View of Catalinas yesterday morning from about 11:35 am MST shows some light showers over this part of town. They didn't amount to much, but did leave 0.01" in the gauge here.

Light Showers This Morning

Note - Total rain yesterday was only 0.06" here.

View looking toward the Catalinas at 10 am MST this morning, showing showers over northern parts of metro area. Image at bottom shows some snow at same time up at Summerhaven General Store.

The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for QPF (above) indicate very light showers this morning.

Alert Network rainfall reports are concentrated across the northern portion of the array, with generally light amounts. Here at the house we've had 0.06" so far this morning.

Current NWS forecast for the airport indicates clear skies, but with slight chance of showers overnight.

Rain Event 17 February

View of rain at 3:30 am 17 February, looking toward the Catalinas.

Rainfall reports across the ALERT Network on 17 February (above and below). Here at the house we had 0.19".

Statement from the NWS this morning re gusty winds (above), and am forecast for the airport (below).