Widespread Rains

Showers on Catalinas and foothills at 6 pm MST yesterday afternoon.

There were widespread rain reports across the ALERT Network yesterday (above and below) for 24-hours ending at 7 am this morning. A couple of the null reports look a bit suspect. Here at the house we had 0.31"; the airport had 0.23"; DM AFB reported 0.32"; and Atmo had 0.16". This was first significant rain here since March 10th.

The 09 UTC SREF plumes for QPF at TUS (above - from SPC webpage) show several  members indicating very light amounts after 12 UTC at the airport, but with a few showing over a quarter on an inch. The current morning forecast from the NWS for the airport (below) indicates slight chances for showers and thunder today. We shall see.

A Dry April

It looked promising late yesterday afternoon - view of the Catalinas above from 5:45 pm MST.

However, measurable rain stayed to east and south of the metro area. ALERT observations (above) are for 24-hours ending at 9:00 am this morning. There was no rain at the house during all of April, making this one of 8 Aprils with no rain here since 1999.

The plumes from the 06 UTC runs of the GEFS (below) indicate slight chances for light showers around the 5th of May. 

Chance For Showers Mid-Week

Clear skies over the Rincons pre-sunrise this morning (note - sunrise was at 5:42 am MST).

The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for temperature (above) indicate a distinct cooling at mid-week, as April draws to a close.

Plumes for QPF at the airport (above) indicate chances for measurable rain on the 30th and 1st of April and May. There's a large range in both the timing and amounts among the various ensemble members.

The GFS forecast from the 06 UTC run (below, for 500 mb) indicates a distinct shortwave from Wyoming south-southwestward across the Four Corners, Tucson, and central Baja at 00 UTC on May 1st.

The GEFS POPs for the airport (bottom) reach above 50 percent on the 30th. So far, April has been rain-free here at the house, so Thursday and Friday will be interesting.

Earth Day 2026

 

Thanks to Walt Kelly and Pogo for this graphic.

And also to Charles Schulz' Snoopy.

Windy And Slight Chance For Showers

Note added Tuesday - several sites northwest of the Catalinas had sprinkles and a Trace yesterday afternoon. Nothing here at the house.

Clouds and a bit of virga overhead at 7:30 am MST this morning, but with some blue sky off to the north.

NWS graphic shows forecast wind gusts for southeast Arizona (above) - gusts at the airport yesterday reached 32 mph.

 Plumes for QPF (from 09 UTC runs at SPC) shown above indicating chances for light showers into tonight. Current NWS forecast for the airport below. There has been no rain here at the house since the end of March.

Isolated Showers End March

View of the Catalinas at 2:00 pm MST yesterday afternoon, March 31st. Reports across the ALERT Network are shown below for 24-hours ending at 8 am this morning. Here at the house we had 0.01" a bit before 2 pm. Monthly total for March was 0.28", with rainfall on only two days. I did note a thunderstorm on the 9th. The month closed out with considerable winds and dust.

Slight Chances Showers

Sunrise and some cloud cover over Redington Pass this morning.

Rainfall totals (above) for 24-hours ending at 9:00 am MST this morning shows there were light showers off to the southeast of the metro area - from CoCoRaHS at Atmos Dept. Colorado State University.

Forecast below from NWS Forecast Office indicates continued slight chances for showers today and tomorrow.