Cumulus sitting over the Catalinas at 0810 am MST this morning.
Plot of detected CG flashes (from Atmo and Vaisala) for 24 hours through 0833 UTC this morning (above) shows almost no thunderstorm activity over eastern Pima County.
Morning sounding (above from TWC/TUS) looks favorable for storms today. However, it appears that slightly warmer and drier air will advect in at middle-levels, decreasing CAPE as day progresses. Current NWS forecast is for 20 POPs for rain at airport today. Forecast below (from the 12 UTC WRF-RR) is for rainfall through midnight on Labor Day. So, basically a mostly warm and dry three day Holiday weekend.
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