Thursday, December 25, 2014

Christmas Morning Potpourri



HAPPY HOLIDAYS TO ALL WHO VISIT HERE!

Two photos from our courtyard - snow is from February a couple of years ago. Chiltepin pepper plant above is a volunteer, probably "planted" by a bird. This very small and very hot pepper is the only variety native to the U.S. Photo was taken less than two weeks ago - this bush and many plants on our street, along south-facing walls, are holding up well given the cold, morning lows.



The early WRF-NAM continues to forecast winds and light showers for the day today. Above forecast of 10-m winds is valid at noon and forecasts the strongest over and near the Chiricahuas
and the New Mexico boot-heel. The composite radar echo forecast below is valid at 6:00 pm MST this evening.



The long-range, global forecasts continue to bring a cold, closed low and precipitation into the Southwest by New Years eve. The ECMWF four-panel forecast above is valid at 168-hours from last evening (5:00 pm MST on December 31st). The forecast 1000-500 mb thicknesses would bring snow levels down to very low elevations. But of course this is seven days out. Should perhaps be a bit worried about this, since both the GFS and ECMWF are very much in agreement at this time frame.

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