The 06 UTC runs of both the WRF and the GEFS ensemble trended drier from here eastward to Deming, as the return flow on west side of Plains high weakened some.
Above is 06 UTC WRF-GFS from Atmo - note the new and expanded domain over which the 5.4 km grid version is now running. Plot above is the forecast of total precipitation through 00 UTC on May 3rd. It is important to point out that the operational version of the GFS (which drives above) is very dry.
Will take a closer look tomorrow.
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