Bit of color over the Rincons at 6:05 am MST this morning.
While March has not been very stormy so far, it certainly has been hot. Graphic (above) from the NWS shows the many records that have been set across southeast Arizona.
Current forecasts indicate a somewhat unsettled end of the month. The forecast above shows precipitation totals through the end of the month from the 06 UTC run of the GFS model. Below is the GFS 500 mb forecast valid at 18 UTC on 30 March, showing a weak shortwave over Arizona.
The plumes from the 06 UTC GEFS runs are shown here through the 30th. QPF plumes for the airport (above) indicate activity for the 29th into the 31st. While the temperature forecasts (below) indicate considerable cooling for the last several days of the month.
The plumes indicate strong winds on the 28th (above), while POPs at the airport peak around 60 percent (below). So, it's looking like an interesting end of the month wrt weather here in our part of Arizona, as well as for much of the state.
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