View of campus (east Mall) a bit after 7:00 am MST this morning - looks like there's one person walking toward east in this view.
Yesterday there were afternoon and evening thunderstorms in northern Mexico, and one storm affected the very southeast corner of Cochise County. Plot of detected CG flashes below is for 24-hours ending at midnight last night (from Atmo and Vaisala).
The 500 mb pattern this morning (above) shows a weak anticyclone centered somewhere over western Arizona. Stronger winds are restricted to northern parts of state. This morning's sounding for TWC (below) shows light/variable winds below 400 mb, PW a bit over 0.75", and no CAPE.
Forecasts (all from 06 UTC last night) indicate some increase in PW through the day tomorrow and then a rapid plunge during Sunday night (above PW plumes from GEFS). Forecast TWC sounding below (from WRF-GFS) is valid at noon tomorrow - only slight bit of CAPE forecast above 600 mb.
The GEFS plumes for QPF at airport (above) show showers at airport, mostly during day tomorrow, with very light rain amounts possible in those forecasts. The WRF-GFS forecast of rainfall amounts through midnight Sunday night, with a goose egg for the airport.
This is a pretty marginal situation, and I'd be surprised, but happy, to find measurable rain in the gauge here by Monday morning.
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