Friday, May 08, 2020

Slight Chance Showers This Weekend And Bit Cooler


Some high clouds to east this morning - above.  High temperatures yesterday (below) had very large range (more than 60 F) from Wyoming to southern California - high here was 102 F (third straight day over 100 F).



Models forecast a very slight chance for showers over parts of Arizona this weekend. Precipitation amounts forecast at airport (above from 06 UTC GEFS) indicate best chances at airport Saturday night into Sunday, with amounts averaging only about 0.07". Forecasts for PW (below - from same runs) show a peak reaching almost an inch on Sunday.



GEFS forecasts some CAPE over weekend (above from 06 UTC runs), so there may be thunderstorms around, especially Sunday), which would bring some local spots with heavier rain possible. The 06 UTC WRF-GFS forecast for amounts through 6:00 pm MST on Sunday show little of consequence for southeast Arizona. But cooler temperatures and higher RH will be a welcome change, even without rain in the gauge.


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