Monday, February 26, 2024

Light, Morning Showers

Heavy cloud cover across the metro area at 6:50 am MST this morning.

The IR satellite image from 1430 UTC (above) shows two cyclonic circulations west of California and a large cloud area moving across southern California and Arizona. Base scan radar from TUS radar at 1450 UTC (below) shows showers affecting the northwest and southeast corners of metro area. There was a light sprinkle here a bit ago, and the airport reported thunder with 0.01" of rain - DM had thunder and a Trace.


Forecast for 500 mb (from 06 UTC GFS - above, valid at 18 UTC on the 28th) indicates that the lows west of California consolidate into a weak low that moves across Arizona on Wednesday. GEFS plumes for QPF from 06 UTC (below) indicate good chances for rain amounts at the airport near half an inch on Wednesday.

At bottom is current morning graphic from the NWS web page at TUS.


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