Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Showers Likely This Afternoon



Mostly clear skies this morning at 7:55 am MST.


The 500 mb low near northern Baja is forecast to move eastward across northern Mexico and southern Arizona during the day today - 06 UTC GFS forecast above is valid at 5:00 pm this afternoon.

The GEFS plumes for QPF at the airport have been very consistent during past few days, forecasting an average of 0.2 to 0.3"  this afternoon and tonight - as per above. The 12 UTC WRF-RR forecast (below) forecasts widespread precipitation across all of Pima County for period ending at midnight tonight. Current NWS Forecast Office graphic forecast for today and tonight is shown at the bottom.


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