Monday, August 29, 2011

August Ending Very Hot And Dry


Much flooding, and other Irene issues, are main topic of weather talk as the new week starts. Here in Tucson the dirty, dust-laden skies persisted through the day yesterday - 5 pm MST image is above. The cumulus at the right is about as much activity as we saw yesterday.


Today starts out with cleaner skies, as the current view of the Catalinas shows. Skies over most of  Arizona and northwestern Mexico are also very clear this morning (visible satellite image from 1430 UTC is below). Morning model runs hint at very isolated thunderstorms over higher elevations of southeast Arizona this afternoon - so that would be an uptick in activity. The middle and upper-level anticyclone is forecast to be nearly overhead at 0000 UTC this afternoon, and PWs are around an inch. Perhaps a bit of CAPE this afternoon as patches of higher moisture slosh around, and temperatures head into the 100s.


In the longer term, models hint at tropical activity in GoM and east Pacific later in the week - so all hope is not lost.

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