Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Little Change Model Forecasts re Showers Tomorrow Night


Sunrise this morning at Kitt Peak.


Forecast models have little change today and indicate that fast-moving system will cross Arizona tomorrow night (Thursday the 29th). Graphics here are from the 06 UTC WRF-GFS forecast run last night. 

Above is composite radar images valid at 03:00 am MST early Friday - model forecasts a single band of showers to cross metro area, so amounts may be quite variable. Forecast below is for total precipitation through midnight, Friday night (color bar shown previous post).

Bottom is 10-m wind forecast valid at 08:00 pm tomorrow evening and indicates a period of gusty, southwest winds late in afternoon into evening.



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