Wednesday, February 09, 2022

Mild Temperatures/Some Winds



Early morning views of: the Catalinas from campus (above at 7:25 am MST); Mt. Lemmon SkyCenter (second from bottom at 7:20 am); and of Puerto Penasco (bottom at 7:00 am).

The next significant short-wave that will impact Arizona approaches the state at 12 UTC on February 16th (as per GFS forecast above from 06 UTC run). Temperatures until then will be quite mild, mostly in 70s, reaching near 80 F on a day or two. Precipitation forecast from same GFS run (below) shows that the system will likely be moisture starved.


Forecasts here from 06 UTC WRF-GFS run at Atmo. Above shows little total precipitation through 10:30 am on February 16th across entire state. While there will be several breezy to windy periods during next seven days, the same run of the WRF indicates that the winds will be very strong on the afternoon of the 15th (next Tuesday). Note that 31 kts converts to 36 mph.




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