Saturday, February 12, 2022

Dry Into Next Week



Pre-sunrise views about 6:30 am MST this morning - above from Sahaurita and bottom from San Simon.

Current forecast from NWS Tucson this morning (above) - breezy on next Tuesday and slight chance for showers Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Plumes for QPF at airport (above from 06 UTC GEFS) indicate slight chances for showers late Tuesday and on Wednesday. Forecast below (from 06 UTC WRF-GFS run at Atmo) is for total precipitation valid through midnight next Friday night. That forecasts indicates little precipitation for Arizona, and nothing across southern half of state.


However, the same run of the GEFS members for wind (above) indicates a very windy day at the airport next Tuesday (the 15th). The WRF-GFS forecast (below - valid at 2:30 pm on the 15th) also indicates a windy day.  

Depending on your models of choice, we can look ahead for winds at mid-week, and perhaps some light showers.


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