Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Chance For Showers

Another morning with spectacular skies over the Rincons a bit after 6:00 am MST.

IR satellite image from 8:55 am (above) shows large cloud mass covering much of Arizona. The skew-T plot from Yuma at 14 UTC this morning (below) shows a nearly saturated troposphere, with strong west-southwesterly winds aloft.


The 06 UTC WRF-GFS forecast from Atmo (above) is for precipitation through 5:00 pm tomorrow. That model keeps heaviest precipitation well to our north. The GEFS plumes for QPF have been very consistent last several days, indicating about 0.30" of rain at the airport (below). The morning weather graphic at bottom is from the NWS Forecast Office webpage.


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