View of Rincons before sunrise this morning.
Analysis for 500 mb at 12 UTC this morning (from SPC). Note that closed circulation is actually over southwest Utah, rather position indicated on analysis. Forecast from 06 UTC GFS (below) moves the low center to southwest Arizona by 12 UTC tomorrow morning.
Forecast above is from the 12 UTC WRF-RR run at Atmo - shown is precipitation forecast by the model through noon on Saturday. Current morning forecast from the TUS Forecast Office is shown below.
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