Monday, September 09, 2024

Monsoon Pattern Weakens


Pre-sunrise color looking toward the Rincons this morning a bit before 6:00 am MST.


At 500 mb this morning (above from SPC) there is a weak anticyclone center just east of the Four Corners.


GFS forecasts from 06 UTC (above for 48 hours and below for 96 hours) show the anticyclone weakening as the 500 trough over the West dominates, and the monsoon summer pattern comes to an end. Over the GoM a developing TS is forecast to become a hurricane as it heads toward the lower Mississippi Basin.

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