There have been quite a few strong fronts that pushed into, or across, the Gulf of Mexico this winter, so I did a quick check of current SSTs. Top graphic shows current SST for the Gulf and bottom graphic shows departures from normal. Indeed, SSTs are below normal over the entire Gulf. SSTs are not normal or above except for well south of the Yucatan Straits in the western Caribbean. Means that early season severe storm outbreaks will need either to pull low-level air northward from very low latitudes or have cooler than usual middle-level temperatures. Something to watch as the pattern transitions next week to high amplitude waves moving into central US.
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