I looked a bit more at CPC's web page this morning to find information about how these outlooks are made. There is a discussion of the forecast tools used (7 of them, including a 40-member ensemble forecast model) at: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/tools.html
However, I didn't find anything about how the outputs from these tools are distilled into the final outlook products. Perhaps I just didn't look in the right spots? The following is from the discussion of the skill of these forecasts at the link above (which is similar to what I wrote yesterday):
FOR ALL MODELS PRECIPITATION FORECASTS ARE GENERALLY LESS SKILLFUL THAN
TEMPERATURE -- WITH MARGINAL SKILL FOR ALL TOOLS EVEN IN THEIR BEST SEASONS AND
LOCATIONS UNDER NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES. HOWEVER WHEN STRONG EL NINO OR LA NINA
CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT - PRECIPITATION SKILL CAN BE AS HIGH AS TEMPERATURE SKILL
FOR COOL SEASON FORECASTS FOR A NUMBER OF AREAS OF THE U.S. - INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN THIRD - THE NORTHERN ROCKIES - THE HIGH PLAINS AND THE OHIO VALLEY.
STRONG LA NINA CONDITIONS IMPLY THE POSSIBILITY OF MODERATE PRECIPITATION SKILL
FOR SOME PARTS OF THE WARM SEASON AS WELL.
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