Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Long-Range Look At Tropics

The GFS ensemble forecasts spin up significant storms a week from now. The disturbance marked by orange cross off of Central America above is forecast by a number of the GFS ensemble members to become Hurricane Marie, and to track west of Baja. Over in the Atlantic Basin the same member (below) also forecasts a hurricane to be approaching the southeast U.S. The GFS tends to over do tropical spin ups, but it is still an interesting an unusual forecast.

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