The 12 UTC (20 December 2012) morning run of the WRF-GFS model at Atmo forecasts the current gusty east winds to continue through the night. The downslope winds keep things mixed, and temperatures at 6 am tomorrow morning are forecast to be quite mild - as per the plot above (note - I had inserted a graphic for a different time - the surface forecast above is now the correct WRF forecast for 6 am this morning). Current NWS forecast low temperature for TUS tomorrow morning is 33F - very different than the WRF forecast low for TUS of 47F. Will watch to see how the winds modulate temperatures during the night.
Thursday, December 20, 2012
Tough Night For Low Temperature Forecast (Corrected)
The 12 UTC (20 December 2012) morning run of the WRF-GFS model at Atmo forecasts the current gusty east winds to continue through the night. The downslope winds keep things mixed, and temperatures at 6 am tomorrow morning are forecast to be quite mild - as per the plot above (note - I had inserted a graphic for a different time - the surface forecast above is now the correct WRF forecast for 6 am this morning). Current NWS forecast low temperature for TUS tomorrow morning is 33F - very different than the WRF forecast low for TUS of 47F. Will watch to see how the winds modulate temperatures during the night.
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