Miscellany To Start October

September rainfall here at house was 1.28 inches - 8th wettest of 18 years of record. However, total for June - September was 10.17 inches, which was third wettest. Most of September rain (0.83 inches) produced by the remnants of Newton - warm rain with no thunderstorms. Other days brought six thunderstorms here, none of which were severe.
-------------------------------------------------

Visible image this morning of Cat 4 Hurricane Matthew (above), which threatens Jamaica, Haiti, and eastern Cuba. Right now the NHC forecast indicates a nearly direct hit on the Guantanamo Military/Political prison - perhaps Matthew can shut it down?
-------------------------------------------------------

Parts of the area received showers yesterday afternoon - low top convection with no lightning or thunder. Above is 24-hour rainfall ending at 7:00 am MST this morning. Here at house we ended up with 0.12" in the gauge.
--------------------------------------------------------------

Morning sounding plot for TWC above indicates westerly flow through the troposphere, with PW of 0.86" and a sliver of CAPE. The blended PW analysis for 12 UTC from CIRA (below) shows a bit of moisture hanging on over southeast Arizona. The 06 UTC WRF-NAM forecast of PW (on 5.4 km grid - second below) is valid at midnight and indicates a serious dry-out during the day today.

---------------------------------------------------------------
From Mike Leuthold:

Photo above from the dark skies out in Paradise of the Witch Head Nebula in Orion. Below is motion camera shot of mountain lion passing through his property out there.