Saturday, September 16, 2017

More Of The Same


Several thunderstorms yesterday afternoon around the flanks of the Catalinas - stubby little Cb above was around 4:00 pm MST. The thunderstorms produced some showers and the heaviest of these stayed just north of the ALERT network stations - three sites on north end of network had very slight amounts of rainfall. Storms produced some CG flashes also - as per 24-hour flash density ending at 7:00 am this morning (below, from weather.graphics and Vaisala).



Edited to add: Turns out NHC named the easternmost system TS Lee and then the "X" system TS Maria.

Most weather action remains in the tropics, as per the morning updates from NHC. In the Atlantic (above) both Jose and the "X" east of Venezula pose threats to the mainland US (appears as if the  "X" spun-up rapidly during the night and is probably already TS Lee.

To our south (below) hurricane Norma is forecast to move toward southern Baja and then be pushed around by the deepening trough over the West.

At bottom is 00 UTC WRF-GFS forecast on 5.4 km grid for total precipitation through 5:00 pm on September 23rd. That model indicates the dry, trough to the north will preavil and keep Norma's impacts to the south.



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