The very dry period continues, since beginning on August 13th - just over a quarter of an inch here in that period. The 168-hour, 500 mb GEFS spaghetti plot above is valid at 5:00 pm on October 20th and provides little hope for relief here in southern Arizona. There is little spaghetti at this long range, and that is over Europe and the Middle East. Models predict that we stay on the windy and dry side of the trough over the Northwest.
We've been away the past week on a road trip to the Four Corners region, and included time at our favorite hotel, La Posada, in Winslow. Even though it's October, the large cottonwoods there had only a slight hint of yellow. However, some other varieties were turning and providing very nice Fall colors.
The temperature there was below freezing on Tuesday morning, the tenth, but the sprinklers were still on - as per icicles on the tree shown at bottom.
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