Sunday, July 22, 2018

Isolated Storms Again Today


Webcam view of the beach at Aberdeen, Scotland, early this afternoon. The British Open is underway right now at Carnoustie, south-southwest of Aberdeen (from Jack Hales cam wall). 



There were isolated thunderstorms yesterday afternoon in southwest Cochise County (near or overhead at Art Douglas' place) and northern Sonora. Graphic above shows detected CG flashes for 24-hours ending at 3:00 am MST this morning - from Atmo and Vaisala).


Graphic above shows the MIMIC layer PW for 13 UTC between 850 and 700 mb - max amounts continue over southeastern Arizona and a repeat is likely today with storms at higher elevations Cochise and Santa Cruz Counties.

Longer term very grim as intense 500 mb anticyclone shifts from northeastern New Mexico to nearly overhead by midweek. The GFS 500 mb forecast below (from 06 UTC run last night) is valid at noon on Wednesday the 22nd.

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