Tuesday, April 14, 2020

Mild And Dry With Some Gusty Winds


Pre-sunrise clear skies over our area this morning. Down at bottom - vivid sunrise colors at Skunk Bay on Puget Sound, Washington.

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes across the Southeast on Sunday and Monday resulted in major damage and more than 30 fatalities. Storm reports from SPC for Easter Sunday below.




This morning's 500 mb chart (above from GEFS for 12 UTC) is dominated by large-scale trough over much of the continent and a blocking ridge over the eastern Pacific and Alaska. The MIMIC analysis of PW (below for 12 UTC this morning) indicates extremely dry air dominating over most of continental U.S., including our area.



GEFS plumes for winds at TUS (above) indicate several more periods of gusty winds into the middle of next week. Gusts of 25 to 40+ mph were common yesterday afternoon across all of southeast Arizona.

Forecast below shows total precipitation forecast by 00 UTC GFS out through midnight next Monday night. Our very dry April will continue for at least another week.


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