Thursday, January 21, 2021

Overview Of Event So Far

Chaotic skies this morning before sunrise, after light showers that occurred a bit before and after midnight. Here at the house there was rain, but as of now it totaled only 0.05". Barley enough to wet our bone-dry ground. Radar (2nd tilt) from 0635 am MST (below) shows heaviest showers off to our southeast and some light showers/sprinkles out to the west.

Both the 06 UTC plumes for QPF (above) and 06 UTC WRF-GFS precipitation forecast through 6:00 am (below) had amounts for airport that were too large (airport has recorded 0.07"; Atmo had 0.03"). Models indicate that our event is mostly over and that we'll now have to look forward to Sunday and early next week for next rain chances.

Rainfall reports through 6:00 am: ALERT north above; ALERT S below; and metro area (bottom, from MesoWest). Amounts were heaviest to our south and southeast - only one report of half inch (0.51") down near Madera Canyon. All-in-all somewhat of a fizzle given the forecasts of past few days.

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